High Dividend 50: Horizon Bancorp, Inc. – Sure Dividend

Printed on July 1st, 2024 by Josh Arnold

Excessive-yield shares pay out dividends which can be considerably greater than market common dividends. For instance, the S&P 500’s present yield is barely ~1.3%, a product of report highs in inventory indices to date in 2024.

Excessive-yield shares could be very useful to shore up earnings after retirement. A $120,000 funding in shares with a mean dividend yield of 5% creates a mean of $500 a month in dividends.

We have now created a spreadsheet of shares (and intently associated REITs and MLPs, and so on.) with dividend yields of 5% or extra…

You’ll be able to obtain your free full record of all excessive dividend shares with 5%+ yields (together with essential monetary metrics akin to dividend yield and payout ratio) by clicking on the hyperlink under:

Subsequent on our record of excessive dividend shares to evaluate is Horizon Bancorp, Inc. (HBNC).

Horizon has an eight-year dividend enhance streak, which definitely isn’t the longest streak, however the financial institution has been in a position to put in some very sturdy dividend will increase in these eight years.

Enterprise Overview

Horizon is a financial institution holding firm for Horizon Financial institution, which engages within the typical combine of business and retail banking companies and merchandise.

It affords checking, saving, cash market, certificates of deposit, retirement accounts, varied sorts of shopper and business loans, insurance coverage, and extra.

Horizon operates in Indiana and Michigan, and was based in 1873.

Supply: Investor presentation

The financial institution reported first quarter earnings on April twenty fourth, 2024, and outcomes had been drastically improved from the prior quarter.

Supply: Investor presentation

Horizon noticed 32 cents in earnings-per-share, up from a lack of 58 cents within the fourth quarter of 2023. Credit score high quality stays glorious with simply 0.01% internet charge-offs for the interval, and non-performing property totaled simply 26 foundation factors of whole property.

Internet curiosity margin was up seven foundation factors, boosting profitability, however we be aware that’s a really low NIM determine in comparison with the remainder of our protection universe within the banking sector.

After Q1 outcomes, we estimate $1.32 in earnings-per-share for this 12 months.

Development Prospects

Horizon’s earnings development has been uneven to say the least. The financial institution has managed to spice up earnings over time, however prior to now decade, there have been three years of declining earnings, together with final 12 months.

We count on to see 8% development from this 12 months’s base of $1.32, however we consider it is a reversion to the imply given the low base.

In different phrases, we don’t consider Horizon’s natural development over the long-term is especially sturdy, however we’re searching for a return to imply ranges nearer to $2 in earnings-per-share we’ve seen in recent times.

Supply: Investor presentation

If that is going to occur, Horizon is more likely to depend upon mortgage development, which its been concentrating on in current quarters.

In Q1, the financial institution grew loans by $200 million, led by business mortgage development, in addition to high-yield shopper loans. Whereas these are riskier, the nearly-11% yield is sort of attractive, notably for a financial institution with very low NIM like Horizon.

Aggressive Benefits & Recession Efficiency

Like different banks, Horizon actually doesn’t have any aggressive benefits. We be aware that each one banks typically supply the identical set of services, so small banks like Horizon depend upon model loyalty and workplace location comfort for buyer retention. Nevertheless, we be aware that these are free benefits at greatest, like different banks.

Additionally like different banks, Horizon is inclined to recessionary intervals, and we be aware that Horizon’s earnings are more likely to endure in the course of the subsequent interval of financial weak point.

To its credit score, the corporate carried out comparatively strongly in the course of the earlier main financial downturn, the Nice Recession of 2008-2009:

2008 earnings-per-share: $0.54
2009 earnings-per-share: $0.47
2010 earnings-per-share: $0.54

Horizon’s glorious credit score high quality will serve it effectively in the course of the subsequent recession, however the truth stays that no financial institution has management over mortgage demand throughout recessions, or certainly debtors which can be unable to pay.

With Horizon struggling in recent times to develop earnings throughout what has been a really sturdy interval of financial development, we’re cautious for the financial institution in the course of the subsequent recession.

Dividend Evaluation

Horizon has managed to spice up its dividend by a mean of just about 11% yearly prior to now decade, which is extraordinarily sturdy by the requirements of the banking group.

Horizon’s dividend payout ratio was fairly low a decade in the past at a few quarter of earnings, however is double that now.

The present dividend of 64 cents per share yearly is true at half of earnings, so we consider it’s protected for the foreseeable future. We do suppose that the power for Horizon to lift the dividend is considerably restricted, but in addition consider small will increase are within the playing cards within the coming years.

The yield could be very sturdy at 5.2%, the product of that sturdy dividend development, but in addition a comparatively stagnant share value. General, we just like the yield and the relative security of the payout, however see the chance for big will increase to be muted.

Remaining Ideas

We see Horizon as a robust earnings inventory, and one with a comparatively protected dividend and area for small will increase going ahead. We be aware the dearth of aggressive benefits and recession susceptibility, however the latter is just not a difficulty for the second.

We encourage buyers to observe internet curiosity margin, as that’s a weak level for Horizon in the intervening time when it comes to earnings, which clearly has a direct influence on its capacity to lift the dividend.

If you’re concerned about discovering high-quality dividend development shares and/or different high-yield securities and earnings securities, the next Certain Dividend assets will likely be helpful:

Excessive-Yield Particular person Safety Analysis

Different Certain Dividend Assets