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Oil up 1% on Mideast escalation fears, US rate cut expectations By Reuters

August 26, 2024
in Markets
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By Robert Harvey

LONDON (Reuters) -Oil costs rose 1% on Monday on renewed issues that an escalating Gaza battle might disrupt regional oil provides, extending good points from Friday when the prospect of U.S. rate of interest cuts lifted the worldwide financial and gas demand outlook.

futures climbed 79 cents, or 1%, to $79.81 a barrel by 0910 GMT, whereas futures have been at $75.63 a barrel, up 80 cents, or 1.07%.

In one of many largest clashes in additional than 10 months of border warfare, Hezbollah fired tons of of rockets and drones into Israel on Sunday, as Israel’s navy mentioned it struck Lebanon with round 100 jets to thwart a bigger assault.

The conflict raises fears the warfare in Gaza battle dangers changing into a regional battle that may attract Hezbollah’s backer Iran and Israel’s important ally america, although to date no oil output has been affected.

“Oil costs proceed to rise as a result of weekend’s assaults between Israel and Hezbollah. Nevertheless, the state of affairs appears to have calmed down once more, which is why good points remained restricted,” Commerzbank (ETR:) analyst Carsten Fritsch mentioned.

Each oil benchmarks gained greater than 2% on Friday after U.S. Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell endorsed the beginning of rate of interest cuts.

“The prospect of easing financial coverage boosted sentiment throughout the commodity complicated,” ANZ analysts mentioned in a be aware.

Buyers stay cautious over the actions of the Group of Petroleum Exporting Nations (OPEC) and its allies, or OPEC+, which has plans to lift output later this 12 months, mentioned Priyanka Sachdeva, senior market analyst at Phillip Nova.

“The cartel had not too long ago trimmed its outlook for world oil demand, citing issues over weak demand in prime oil importer China,” Sachdeva mentioned.

© Reuters. Storage tanks are seen at the Petroineos Ineos petrol refinery in Lavera, France, March 29, 2022. Picture taken March 29, 2022. REUTERS/Benoit Tessier/ File Photo

“Present sturdy U.S. demand and refilling of SPR reserve look as the one assist for oil costs in opposition to the danger of extra OPEC provide,” she mentioned, referring to the U.S. Strategic Petroleum Reserve (SPR).

If OPEC+ have been to postpone the deliberate October manufacturing enhance, oil costs might obtain short-term assist, Saxo Financial institution analyst Ole Hansen added.

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