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Merchants,
I stay up for sharing my prime concepts for the upcoming week, together with my entry and exit targets, and explaining the setups and eventualities I’m in search of.
With the election simply over per week away, my focus will shift to predominantly intraday move2move buying and selling. Whereas the market’s positioning is ready up favorably for swing trades, with an election on the horizon, I count on some chop and lack of follow-through with massive caps main as much as it.
So, let’s soar straight to this week’s watchlist with out additional ado!
Consolidation Breakout in SMR
The Thought: OKLO, VST, and others are a part of the nuclear power theme. From a technical perspective, SMR is my favourite chart out of the various names. The title has elevated brief curiosity, a fairly small float, and is consolidating above earlier resistance in a bullish formation.
*Please word that the costs and different statistics on this web page are hypothetical, and don’t replicate the impression, if any, of sure market elements resembling liquidity, slippage and commissions.
The Plan: As of proper now, that is my solely swing focus for the upcoming week forward of the election. Help close to the low $17s and resistance close to $19 and $20 shine by means of throughout a number of timeframes. I’ll deal with dip buys so long as the inventory doesn’t start to base beneath the 5-day SMA inside this consolidation. If it begins to agency up above $19 on RVOL, I’ll look so as to add, focusing on a 1 ATR transfer towards $20+ to take a chunk off and start trailing my place on increased lows on the 5-minute. Finally focusing on a multi-ATR transfer above $20 if the inventory breaks out and path versus the earlier increased low. Ideally, the vary will likely be additional contracted earlier than breaking out.
Day 3 Hole Commerce in TSLA
The Thought: Brief-term commerce, ideally units up on Monday. It’s not a swing commerce. I’m bullish on the title in the long run, however within the brief time period, the inventory is organising nicely for a day 3 hole or failed follow-through brief scalp. Tesla had its earnings hole and follow-through on day 1 and intense day 2 follow-through, and now I must see both a spot on Monday above Friday’s shut or a robust opening drive increased within the morning for additional affirmation that the setup is forming.
*Please word that the costs and different statistics on this web page are hypothetical, and don’t replicate the impression, if any, of sure market elements resembling liquidity, slippage and commissions.
The Plan: If the inventory stuffs or engulfs its opening-drive, or offers again its hole, I’ll look to go brief on a decrease excessive versus the HOD, focusing on some profit-taking. The plan could be to seize as much as 50% of an ATR, whereas trailing decrease highs on a 5-minute timeframe, or exiting the place manually if the downtrend breaks and the inventory begins to reclaim and base above its intraday VWAP.
Bitcoin Continues to Kind: Consolidation Breakout
The Thought: I’ve spoken about IBIT / Bitcoin at size in current weeks. Now, it’s starting to consolidate and shake out weak fingers. For me, that is the best situation, probably organising a consolidation breakout nearer to the election. I don’t plan on taking motion within the coming days. As a substitute, I’ll proceed to watch IBIT / BTC and hope for additional vary and quantity contraction because the election nears. Ideally, the vary tightens, organising a consolidation breakout alternative above $39 for a multi-day breakout and take a look at of highs. It is a bigger-picture concept that I’ll proceed to watch within the days and weeks forward. What I don’t need to do is purchase on this consolidation or chase intraday energy and get chopped up. As a substitute, I’m patiently ready for the celebs to raised align for a consolidation breakout with affirmation.
*Please word that the costs and different statistics on this web page are hypothetical, and don’t replicate the impression, if any, of sure market elements resembling liquidity, slippage and commissions.
Further Names on Watch:
Reversion in DJT: In fact, that is now a proxy and buying and selling automobile, probably organising for a major sell-the-news alternative on November 5 / post-election. Nevertheless, earlier than then, if the inventory extends on a major hole or intraday blow-off, I’ll be targeted on an intraday imply reversion brief or FRD setup. I can’t be swing-focused till the election, nevertheless.
*Please word that the costs and different statistics on this web page are hypothetical, and don’t replicate the impression, if any, of sure market elements resembling liquidity, slippage and commissions.
Decrease-Excessive Brief in PHUN: Sympathy mover to DJT and arguably one of many prime opps final week with the FRD setup on Thursday. Ideally, this pushes over $11 – $11.50 and comes into a possible provide and failure zone, failing to comply with by means of, providing a possibility to get brief versus the HOD. If that transpires, and the shares fails and holds weak, I’ll look to be brief versus the HOD, focusing on a transfer towards $9 with a 5-minute decrease excessive path.
*Please word that the costs and different statistics on this web page are hypothetical, and don’t replicate the impression, if any, of sure market elements resembling liquidity, slippage and commissions.
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